MLB Trade Rumors Member Posts

 

Insider27's Profile

Current Avatar:
No Avatar image uploaded

No Profile Picture uploaded

Team:


Where from:


Favourite player:


Best team moment:


Interests:


Timezone:




Insider27's Posts and Other Poster's Replies To Insider27's Posts

 

 

To Insider27's last 5 rumours posts

 

To Insider27's last 5 talk posts

 

To Insider27's last 5 rumour replies

 

To Insider27's last 5 talk replies

 

Insider27's rumours posts with other poster's replies to Insider27's rumours posts

 

01 Sep 2020 17:17:43
Mets hypothetical

Imagine if the Mets ownership hired Chaim Blood as GM instead of BVW. Bloom insisted the Mets rebuild/be cautious, while BVW wanted the Mets to go for it. Which turned out to be the deciding factor in hiring BVW. Owenership was not ready to rebuild. Bloom has a history of player development and understands value, while BVW was a very good agent, but never worked on the roster side. So, let's go back to November 2018 undo the moves made by BVW.

BVW moves

Contracts Moved
Years/Salary

2/$26 million (Jay Bruce)
1/$7 million (Anthony Swarzak)
1/$8 million (Jason Vargas)
2/$2 million (Kevin Plawecki)

Saved $29 million in 2019
Saved $14 million in 2020


Contract Acquired
Years/Salary

5/$100 million (Robinson Cano)
-removing $20 million that was received in trade
4/$15 million (Edwin Diaz)
-assuming arb
3/$28 million (Jenrys Familia)
2/$16 million (Wilson Ramos)
2/$15 million (Jed Lowrie)
2/$18 million (Marcus Stroman)
2/$10 million (Justin Wilson)

Added $49 million in 2019
Added $63 million in 2020


In all, BVW added just over $20 million to the 2019 payroll. In 2020 he added $49 million. In addition he traded away the #12 prospect in baseball, two former 1st round picks, and another young arm (Woods-Richardson) with huge upside. The only good trade he made was acquiring JD Davis from Houston.


Prospects Moved by BVW

CF Jared Kelenic
SP Simeon Woods-Richardson
SP Justin Dunn
SP Anthony Kay
SP Kevin Smith
SP Jordan Humphreys
2B Luis Santana
RP Gerson Bautista
SP Scott Manea
OF Ross Adolph


Lets go back to 2018 (pre BVW moves) and hypothetically sell like Bloom wanted.

Roster Construction at the time

C- Travis d'Arnaud (Exp 2019)
1B- Jay Bruce (Exp 2019)
2B- Jeff McNeil
3B- Todd Frazier (Exp 2019)
SS- Amed Rosario
LF- Yoenis Cespedes (Exp 2020)
CF- Brandon Nimmo
RF- Michael Conforto

SP- Jacob deGrom (Exp 2020)
SP- Noah Syndergaard
SP- Zach Wheeler (Exp 2019)
SP- Steven Matz
SP- Jason Varges (Exp 2019)

7th- Hansel Robles (Exp 2020)
SU- Anthony Swarzak (Exp 2019)
CL- Seth Lugo

Ready to contribute in the Minors
1B- Pete Alonso
1B/OF- Dominic Smith


Moves Bloom would have probably made based off reports and rumors at the time.

Trades

Noah Syndergaard to San Diego.

It's hard to imagine exactly what the Mets would have received in return, but SD was never trading Tatis Jr, or Gore. So let's remove those two from consideration. Francisco Mejia and Xavier Edwards were both high on the Mets list then. Getting a 26 year old pitcher with multiple years of control would get at least 3 quality prospects and maybe a lower end one as well. Therefore, we can add Luis Patino and a guy like Andres Munoz.

NYM- Francisco Mejia, Xavier Edwards, Luis Patino & Andres Munoz
SD- Noah Syndergaard & Ali Sanchez



Come 2019, with the Mets struggling again. Bloom would have probably considered moving deGrom as well who is 31 and has 1.5 years (at the deadline) left on his contract. Trevor Bauer was moved at that deadline with the same contract so we can only assume deGrom would command a much higher price coming off a Cy Young and heading towards another.


Jacob deGrom to Houston

The Astros were considering Wheeler due to the contract and wound up trading for Greinke and his terrible deal as a fall back. It's have to believe if deGrom were available, they wouldn't have jumped all over it.

NYM- Kyle Tucker, Forrest Whitley & Abraham Toro
HOU- Jacob deGrom


Zach Wheeler to Phillies

With the Mets selling at the deadline, they would send Wheeler out as well who was a FA at the end of the year. Obviously Philly liked him so the Mets could pick up a lower prospect or two for a rental.

NYM- Christopher Sanchez
PHI- Zach Wheeler


Had the Mets hired Bloom, it's hard to say they would not be in better position for 2021 and beyond. They would not have any major contracts on their roster, and they would have eight-top 100 prospects in their farm. Kelenic, Whitley, Patino, Mauricio, Alverez, Edwards, Gimenez and Baty. Along with Simeon Woods-Richardson, Anthony Kay, Justin Dunn, and a few other young players like Jordan Humphreys and Kevin Smith that have a shot to make an impact at the next level.

Insider27

1.) 02 Sep 2020 14:57:24
BVW's moves make sense when you consider the context of what's taking place in that organization.

One, the Mets wanted to win now. They were not poised for a long rebuild, and didn't have the prospect capital to pull off a short rebuild.

Two, I'd imagine the decision to sell the team was made well before they hired BVW. A rebuild would have cost the owners a significant amount of money in the sale. New owners love rebuilds, existing owners don't.

Three, recent updates on most of those Mets prospects haven't been kind to said prospects. I'd imagine BVW's front office nerds already knew this.

So it makes sense.

With that, your proposals don't.

The pricetag on Syndergaard was always going to demand a Gore or Tatis, which is why they didn't move him. You don't move cheap, controllable pitching for concession prospects.

The Astros were never paying that price. Whitley and Tucker were both nearing MLB ready last summer, and it's pretty evident they weren't going to move either of those guys, and certainly not both.

And the Wheeler trade would have been straight up bad terrible for NY. The compensatory pick the Mets got for Wheeler (ended up taking Isaiah Greene) was a better value for the Mets than anything they would have received at the deadline.

It's the same reason the Giants didn't move Bumgarner or Will Smith. They felt they could get better value in the extra draft than anything being offered in return.

BVW gets a lot of flak, but I think when you consider the context his team is in, it's easier to make sense of what he's doing.


 

 

17 Aug 2020 14:43:55
NYM- Kris Davis & Grant Holmes
OAK- Robinson Cano & Amed Rosario

The A's are potentially losing Marcus Semien and Tony Kemp is not a full-time player. Rosario will replace Semien and Cano can handle 2B until sliding to DH in a year or so. The Mets get out of the Cano contract, but take on 1 year of Kris Davis and his $17 million. This allows the Mets to play Gimenez and Guillorme full-time giving them one of the (if not the) best defensive MIF in the game.

Insider27

 

 

18 Feb 2020 19:33:55
2020 Predictions

(AL EAST)
Yankees 104-58
Rays 88-76
Red Sox 80-82
Blue Jays 75-87
Orioles 55-107

(AL CENTRAL)
Twins 105-57
Indians 91-71
White Sox 83-79
Tigers 61-101
Royals 56-106

(AL WEST)
Astros 106-56
Athletics 92-70
Angels 81-81
Rangers 79-83
Mariners 68-94


(NL EAST)
Mets 97-65
Braves 92-70
Nationals 88-74
Phillies 82-80
Marlins 55-107

(NL CENTRAL)
Cubs 94-68
Reds 90-72
Cardinals 87-75
Brewers 81-81
Pirates 68-94

(NL WEST)
Dodgers 105-57
Diamondbacks 85-77
Padres 79-83
Rockies 72-90
Giants 69-93


(PLAYOFFS)

Wild Card
AL
4 Athletics vs 5 Indians
NL
4 Braves vs 5 Reds


Division Series
AL
1 Astros vs 5 Indians
2 Twins vs 3 Yankees
NL
1 Dodgers vs 4 Braves
2 Mets vs 3 Cubs


Championship Series
AL
1 Astros vs 3 Yankees
NL
1 Dodgers vs 2 Mets


World Series
1 Dodgers vs 3 Yankees

Winner
1 Dodgers

Insider27

1.) 02 Mar 2020 16:57:56
Minnesota fan?


2.) 02 Mar 2020 17:47:55
First timer here. I'm a Pirate fan, and I'd like to say NO WAY they win 68. I'm thinking they'll be lucky to win 58.


3.) 05 May 2020 21:39:42
Go Yanks! 🙂.


4.) 06 May 2020 23:55:23
Insider 🤣🤣🤣.


 

 

12 Feb 2020 20:23:55
COL- Nick Madrigal, Michael Kopech and Dane Dunning
CHW- Nolan Arenado


CF) Luis Robert
SS) Tim Anderson
3B) Nolan Arenado
1B) Jose Abreu
DH) Edwin Encarnacion
LF) Eloy Jiminez
2B) Yoan Moncada
C) Yasmani Grandal
RF) Nomar Mazara

SP) Lucas Giolito
SP) Dallas Kuechel
SP) Reynaldo Lopez
SP) Gio Gonzalez
SP) Dylan Cease

Insider27

 

 

16 Jan 2020 14:42:48
Astros

I know this won't happen, BUT if I were the GM of Houston I'd be looking for way to keep the success long-term. I think this team still wins 100 games and the West while also restocking the farm and preparing for the loss of their next two 1st and 2nd round picks.



HOU- Nick Senzel, Tyler Stephenson, Lyon Richardson
CIN- Carlos Correa

Correa seems to be one of the young players HOU is considering moving. With Diaz playing well behind him I could see him being shipped out now. Cincy needs a SS and now has Senzel left without a position. He can always be a UT, but they also seem interested in acquiring a top tier SS.



HOU- Steven Matz, Andres Giminez, Franklyn Kilome
NYM- George Springer

The Mets have not been quiet about wanting to add a true CF. Springer is coming off a career year and plays solid defense. The Astros have Senzel (see above trade) who can replace Springer in the lineup and Matz will add a solid LH pitcher to the bottom of the rotation. The Mets have a deep set of pitchers to deal from.


HOU- Danny Diaz
BOS- Josh Reddick

If Boston trades Mookie, Reddick becomes a solid 1 year option to replace him. Diaz is an upside prospect to take a shot on.



C- Martin Maldanado
1B- Yuli Gurriel
2B- Jose Altuve
3B- Alex Bregman
SS- Aledyms Diaz
LF- Kyle Tucker
CF- Nick Senzel
RF- Yordan Alverez
DH- Michael Brantley

SP- Justin Verlander
SP- Zach Greinke
SP- Lance McCullers Jr
SP- Steven Matz
SP- Brad Peacock

Insider27

1.) 16 Jan 2020 15:08:07
I doubt many will go running to bail the Astros or Red Sox out at this point. The Astros won't get anywhere near market price for any of their guys.


2.) 16 Jan 2020 16:44:49
I would disagree. They have All-Star players they are moving. They're not trying to dump a Pujols contract. There is still a market for these guy, and even if they lose a slight bit of leverage, they will still get a solid return.


3.) 16 Jan 2020 17:44:17
I repeat: no one is going to bail out the Astros. Yes, they have players that teams would (and should) want. But no one is going to pay premiums for those players. Not now.

Teams are livid regarding the cheating scandal, and I'd imagine a lot of front office execs feel Houston got off easy. They won't get anything close to the returns you're giving them. The deals above are far too rich.


4.) 16 Jan 2020 17:45:22
Why would LA do this? With no guarantee that Betts will sign an extension, they aren't giving up Adell for a rental.


5.) 17 Jan 2020 13:11:40
I repeat: These players have a ton of value and do not carry bad contracts. They are not "bailing" Houston out. If a team feel they're making their roster better by making a trade they would do it. They would not stop because they "think" they might be helping the Astros.


6.) 17 Jan 2020 14:54:37
Bailing them out would be paying market value for the players. Again, none of the teams wouldn't go out and trade for, say, Carlos Correa, but the Astros won't have any of the leverage in trade discussions. They would be massively underselling their players.

In other words, they likely won't get someone like Nick Senzel for Correa. Giving them Senzel (and Stephenson FWIW) would be bailing them out. They *might* get Tyler Stephenson for Correa straight up. But even that might be too rich at this point.

Teams are obviously upset. Why would ANY of them pay full price (or higher) to give Houston anything of value at this point?


7.) 17 Jan 2020 14:58:17
To put it more simply (since that's what you need at this point) : if the Giants asked for Carlos Correa, for example, and the price in 2019 was Joey Bart and Heliot Ramos, the new price is probably closer to Heliot Ramos and Luis Matos.

It's still a decent return, but it's nowhere close to what they could get had they not cheated.

Giving them Bart + Ramos would be bailing them out.


8.) 18 Jan 2020 16:51:42
thestatbook, I see your point, and also register that it's just an example.

I do think that the Astros would get a really good return on Correa, but I also agree, the price dropped quite a bit since this scandal.


9.) 20 Jan 2020 20:23:13
thestatbook. I think you really overestimate your knowledge on this situation. If you for one second think Stephenson would be "too rich" for Correa you should quit talking baseball. We use this site to throw out ideas we think would be interesting. Sure, it may not be perfect and no one will ever guess the correct deals, but to think a top 5 SS (regardless of the perception of the team) wouldn't net a top 50 prospect is ludicrous. I'd bet money if Correa got traded it would be a lot closer to my proposal than yours.


10.) 21 Jan 2020 04:22:35
I think you underestimate how teams feel about the Astros. No one is going to run out there and give them anything of value for their players.

If they trade Carlos Correa, we would basically all agree they gave him away. I don't know if the Reds, or any team, would even consider a top 100 prospect at this point for any player. They are that angry at how easy the Astros got off for this scandal.

The Astros would be baseball's Dollar General if they started moving players.


 

 

 

Insider27's talk posts with other poster's replies to Insider27's talk posts

 

15 Oct 2019 17:56:06
My Manager predictions

Angels- Joe Maddon
Cubs- Joe Girardi
Giants- Gabe Kapler
Mets- Carlos Beltran
Pirates- Derek Shelton
Phillies- Buck Showalter
Royals- Mike Matheny
Padres- Jayce Tingler

Insider27

 

 

05 Sep 2019 14:16:25
The Royals 2018 pitching draft class looks pretty damn impressive so far..


Pick/Player/Level/ERA/IP/SO

16- Brady Singer/AA/2.85/148.1/138
33- Jackson Kowar/AA/3.52/148.1/144
34- Daniel Lynch/A+/2.99/96.1/96
40- Kris Bubic/A+/2.23/149.1/185
58- Jonathan Bowlan/A+/3.14/146.0/150
152- Austin Cox/A+/2.76/130.2/129
185- Zach Haake/A/2.70/80.0/94

Insider27

 

 

18 Mar 2019 19:31:19
SEASON PREDICTION

AL EAST
Red Sox 98-64
Yankees 97-65
Rays 81-81
Blue Jays 66-96
Orioles 62-100

AL CENTRAL
Indians 89-73
Twins 86-76
White Sox 72-90
Tigers 70-92
Royals 60-102

AL WEST
Astros 101-61
Angels 86-76
Athletics 84-78
Rangers 76-86
Mariners 72-90


NL EAST
Phillies 95-67
Mets 88-74
Nationals 86-76
Braves 85-77
Marlins 55-107

NL CENTRAL
Cubs 101-61
Cardinals 85-77
Brewers 84-78
Reds 79-83
Pirates 77-85

NL WEST
Dodgers 92-70
Rockies 83-79
Padres 76-86
Diamondbacks 73-89
Giants 69-93


AL PLAYOFFS

Wild Card
4 Yankees vs 5 Twins

ALDS
1 Astros vs 4 Yankees
2 Red Sox vs 3 Indians

ALCS
4 Yankees vs 2 Red Sox

WS
4 Yankees


NL PLAYOFFS

Wild Card
4 Mets vs 5 Nationals

NLDS
1 Cubs vs 4 Mets
2 Phillies vs 3 Dodgers

NLCS
1 Cubs vs 2 Phillies

WS
1 Cubs



WORLD SERIES
1 Cubs vs 4 Yankees


WS Champion
1 Cubs

Insider27

1.) 18 Mar 2019 23:58:07
we found the Cubs fan, everyone.


2.) 19 Mar 2019 01:55:32
The Cubs winning the division by 16 games is the most ridiculous thing I've seen on this site, perhaps ever.


3.) 20 Mar 2019 15:10:38
1, not a Cubs fan.
2, in the past six seasons, at least one team has won their division by 12 games or more.
3, the Cubs now have Hamels and Darvish (combined for 20 starts for CHC last season) replacing Chatwood and Montgomery (4.75 ERA combined last season) .
4, They get Bryant back (missed 60 games last season) .
5, They're one of the deepest teams in the league to offset injuries.

They may not win by 16, but they will win 100 games and easily win the division.


4.) 20 Mar 2019 15:31:57
The NL Central is probably the best division in baseball. The Cardinals got better. The Reds got better. The Brewers are really damn good. To suggest the Cubs, who didn't even win the division last year suddenly take an improved division by 16 games is completely laughable.

You also have the Brewers losing 12 more games from 2018. Did you think last season was a total fluke?

As far as "deepest team". I'm confused by that suggestion. They have literally zero farm system. Their bullpen is atrocious. Their bench depth isn't what it was praised to be. And several of their "stars" aren't that good (Zobrist, Schwarber, Heyward, Happ) .

They might win the division. It will, by no means be "easily".


5.) 21 Mar 2019 16:23:44
Flawed logic, you completely ignore the Brewers won the division last year and yes it was because of the one game playoff. But they have improved from last year, the Cardinals have gotten better, and the Reds have gotten better, and the Pirates are the Pirates, so winning the division by 16 games and winning 100 games in that division won't happen.


6.) 01 Oct 2019 18:14:00
That Cubs prediction. Yikes.


 

 

29 Jan 2019 16:00:33
I think Machado and/or Harper should sign a contract with an opt-out after 1 year. The market just isn't there this year. I don't see them chancing it and signing a 1 year deal, but i think they will require an opt-out after year one to give them a chance to enter next year (age 27) to see if the market is better.

Insider27

1.) 31 Jan 2019 00:29:20
Both Arrieta and Hosmer signed very generous deals late into the winter. Arrieta didn't even sign until March 12th last year.

There is zero reason for either of those guys to panic yet. They'll get paid.


2.) 31 Jan 2019 15:00:21
Although i agree they shouldn't panic, my comment was more towards what i think would be best for them. Outside of Philly and Chicago (AL) there doesn't seem to be anyone willing to give Machado anywhere near what he is wanting. As for Harper, i think the only teams in are Philly and Washington. Unless another team comes from nowhere (which is very possible) and offers a crazy deal, then i could easily see them pushing for an opt-out after year one to at least give them an option.


3.) 20 Mar 2019 15:33:43
23 years, $630 million combined.

The market seemed to work out just fine for them.


 

 

18 Dec 2018 15:14:35
White Sox 2020

The Farm and available money the Sox have is exciting for 2020. They will not compete in 2019, but if they can sign 1/2 good FA this year, then sign 1/2 more next year this team has a legit shot to make a very fast turnaround.


Potential 2020 Roster

C- Yasmani Grandal (sign 19)
1B- Paul Goldschmidt (sign 2020)
2B- Yoan Moncada
3B- Manny Machado (sign 19)
SS- Tim Anderson
LF- Eloy Jiminez
CF- Luis Robert
RF- Blake Rutherford
DH- Yonder Alonso

SP- Gerrit Cole (sign 2020)
SP- Micahel Kopesh
SP- Lucas Giolito
SP- Dylan Cease
SP- Dane Dunning

Insider27

1.) 18 Dec 2018 15:50:50
to poke some holes in this, I also know this is hypothetical, but for first base why not just resign Jose Abreu? Personally I don't see them getting Machado or Harper, but I could be wrong. Garret Cole huh, good luck outbidding the Yankees who have wanted him since they drafted him in 2008 and tried trading for him last offseason. I also want to point out that the biggest contract they every signed a free agent to was Abreu for 68 million. They say they have all this money, but they never use it.


 

 

 

Insider27's rumour replies

 

Click To View This Thread

16 Jul 2020 18:24:04
C- JT Realmuto
1B- Freddie Freeman
2B- Jose Altuve
3B- Anthony Rendon
SS- Xander Bogearts
LF- Juan Soto
CF- Mike Trout
RF- Christian Yelich
DH- Cody Bellinger

C- Yasmani Grandal
2B- Ozzie Albies
3B/ SS- Alex Bregman
OF- Mookie Betts

SP- Jacob deGrom
SP- Gerritt Cole
SP- Max Scherzer
SP- Justin Verlander
SP- Walker Buehler

RP- Seth Lugo
RP- Edwin Diaz
RP- Kenley Jansen
RP- Aroldis Chapman
RP- Kirby Yates
SU- Roberto Osuna
CL- Josh Hader.

Insider27

 

 

Click To View This Thread

11 Feb 2020 15:52:52
Sorry Thestatbook, you assumed wrong. I just got back from Las Vegas so you might have to search for a different Troll. As for your post, I actually agree with you. I don't see why Bloom is taking so much heat for the return. Price had an awful contract and Betts made it clear he wanted to test FA. To grab two solid guys in Verdugo and Downs, they now can use their flexibility to sign Devers and Benetendi to long term deals.

Insider27

 

 

Click To View This Thread

20 Jan 2020 20:23:13
thestatbook. I think you really overestimate your knowledge on this situation. If you for one second think Stephenson would be "too rich" for Correa you should quit talking baseball. We use this site to throw out ideas we think would be interesting. Sure, it may not be perfect and no one will ever guess the correct deals, but to think a top 5 SS (regardless of the perception of the team) wouldn't net a top 50 prospect is ludicrous. I'd bet money if Correa got traded it would be a lot closer to my proposal than yours.

Insider27

 

 

Click To View This Thread

17 Jan 2020 13:11:40
I repeat: These players have a ton of value and do not carry bad contracts. They are not "bailing" Houston out. If a team feel they're making their roster better by making a trade they would do it. They would not stop because they "think" they might be helping the Astros.

Insider27

 

 

Click To View This Thread

16 Jan 2020 16:44:49
I would disagree. They have All-Star players they are moving. They're not trying to dump a Pujols contract. There is still a market for these guy, and even if they lose a slight bit of leverage, they will still get a solid return.

Insider27

 

 

 

Insider27's talk replies